Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.159007 0.178589 0.199025 0.221890 0.246705 0.272768 0.302160
2025-01-26 0.132638 0.159160 0.188188 0.222137 0.260567 0.302535 0.351644
2025-02-02 0.116692 0.148246 0.184209 0.227840 0.278939 0.336487 0.405780
2025-02-09 0.101449 0.135989 0.176864 0.228133 0.290021 0.361616 0.449962
2025-02-16 0.090816 0.127849 0.173183 0.231742 0.304307 0.390196 0.498385
2025-02-23 0.083729 0.123208 0.173020 0.239045 0.322735 0.423738 0.553187
2025-03-02 0.073904 0.113925 0.166034 0.236944 0.328891 0.442025 0.589503
2025-03-09 0.066394 0.106941 0.161304 0.237089 0.337401 0.462973 0.629142
2025-03-16 0.059393 0.099936 0.155888 0.235734 0.343519 0.480664 0.664715
2025-03-23 0.055351 0.096764 0.155363 0.240676 0.357763 0.508785 0.713827
2025-03-30 0.050277 0.091556 0.151532 0.240685 0.365151 0.527935 0.751564
2025-04-06 0.045562 0.086438 0.147407 0.239903 0.371188 0.545190 0.786922
2025-04-13 0.040872 0.081065 0.142731 0.238323 0.376368 0.561870 0.822564
2025-04-20 0.037626 0.077734 0.140862 0.240628 0.386920 0.585893 0.868336
2025-04-27 0.035824 0.076658 0.142349 0.247868 0.404582 0.619878 0.928023
2025-05-04 0.032823 0.073197 0.139817 0.248847 0.413144 0.641424 0.971192
2025-05-11 0.030766 0.071214 0.139488 0.253083 0.426446 0.669697 1.023912
2025-05-18 0.029604 0.070763 0.141599 0.261112 0.445459 0.706248 1.088525
2025-05-25 0.026705 0.066719 0.137427 0.258987 0.449173 0.721154 1.123337
2025-06-01 0.024477 0.063742 0.134848 0.259212 0.456308 0.740933 1.165117
2025-06-08 0.022198 0.060406 0.131400 0.257800 0.460791 0.756858 1.201608
2025-06-15 0.021107 0.059429 0.132052 0.263112 0.475688 0.788050 1.260055
2025-06-22 0.019362 0.056853 0.129633 0.263134 0.482264 0.807118 1.301444